Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit (2024)

Key Takeaways

A budget deficit occurs when the money going out exceeds the money coming in for a given period. On this page, we calculate the deficit by the government’s fiscal year.

In the last 50 years, the federal government budget has run a surplus five times, most recently in 2001.

To pay for government programs while operating under a deficit, the federal government borrows money by selling U.S. Treasury bonds, bills, and other securities. The national debt is the accumulation of this borrowing along with associated interest owed to investors who purchased these securities.

Understanding the National Deficit

A budget deficit occurs when money going out (spending) exceeds money coming in (revenue) during a defined period. In FY 0, the federal government spent $ trillion and collected $ trillion in revenue, resulting in a deficit. The amount by which spending exceeds revenue, $ trillion in 0, is referred to as deficit spending.

The opposite of a budget deficit is a budget surplus, which occurs when the federal government collects more money than it spends. The U.S. has experienced a fiscal year-end budget surplus five times in the last 50 years, most recently in 2001.

When there is no deficit or surplus due to spending and revenue being equal, the budget is considered balanced.

The terms “national deficit”, “federal deficit” and “U.S. deficit” have the same meaning and are used interchangeably by the U.S. Treasury.

  • Surplus

  • Balanced Budget

  • Deficit

Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit (1)

A surplus occurs when the government collects more money than it spends.

The last surplus for the federal government was in 2001.

The chart below shows a breakdown of how the U.S. deficit compares to the corresponding revenue and spending.

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The Causes of Deficits and Surpluses

The size of the national deficit or surplus is largely influenced by the health of the economy and spending and revenue policies set by Congress and the President. The health of the economy is often evaluated by the growth in the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), fluctuations in the nation’s employment rates, and the stability of prices. Simply put, when the country’s people and businesses are making less money, the amount collected by the government also decreases. Similarly, when the economy is doing well and people and businesses are earning more money, the government collects more. On the spending side, the increase or decrease of spending also impacts the budget, creating deficits or surpluses.

Legislation increasing spending on Social Security, health care, and defense that outpace revenue can increase the deficit. While revenue increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, from approximately $3.5 trillion in 2019 to $4 trillion in 2021, increased government spending related to widespread unemployment and health care caused spikes in the deficit. Visit USAspending.gov to learn more about the federal response to COVID-19.

The Difference Between the National Deficit and the National Debt

The terms deficit and debt are frequently used when discussing the nation’s finances and are often confused with one another.

To pay for a deficit, the federal government borrows money by selling Treasury bonds, bills, and other securities. The national debt is the accumulation of this borrowing along with associated interest owed to the investors who purchased these securities. As the federal government experiences reoccurring deficits, which are common, the national debt grows. To learn more about the national debt, visit the National Debt Explainer.

The visualization below shows how deficits from previous years are added to the current year’s deficit to equal total debt. This illustration is simplified to show how debt and deficit are different. In reality, the U.S. government must pay interest on the national debt. This interest expense increases spending each year, increasing spending (and thus, deficits) as the debt grows.

Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit (2)

How else does the federal government finance a deficit?

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U.S. Deficit by Year

Since 2001, the federal government’s budget has run a deficit each year. Starting in 2016, increases in spending on Social Security, health care, and interest on federal debt have outpaced the growth of federal revenue.

From FY 2019 to FY 2021, federal spending increased by about 50 percent in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Federal Deficit Trends Over Time, FY 2001-

Fiscal Year

$

T

Total Deficit

Visit the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) dataset to explore and download this data.

Please note: This data visual only includes completed fiscal years.

Last Updated:

May 20, 2024

The last surplus for the federal government was in 2001.

Learn More about the Deficit

For more information about the national deficit, please explore more of Fiscal Data and check out the extensive resources listed below.

An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/57339

Congressional Budget Office Topics – Budget
https://www.cbo.gov/topics/budget

Federal Deficits, Growing Debt, and the Economy in the Wake of COVID 19
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46729

President’s Budget – Historical Tables
https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/historical-tables/

FY 2022 Final Monthly Treasury Statement
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/static-data/published-reports/mts/MonthlyTreasuryStatement_202209.pdf

Data Sources & Methodologies

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Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit (2024)

FAQs

Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit? ›

A deficit occurs when the federal government's spending exceeds its revenues. The federal government has spent $855 billion more than it has collected in fiscal year (FY) 2024, resulting in a national deficit.

How does fiscal policy affect the national debt? ›

Expansionary fiscal policy involves increased spending or tax cuts to stimulate demand and counter recessions, potentially leading to budget deficits. Contractionary fiscal policy involves reduced spending or increased taxes to control inflation, possibly leading to budget surpluses.

What is fiscal data? ›

Fiscal data include child and family demographics, service delivery, local program administration and lead agency administration costs by revenue source. Analyzed together, these data provide a clear picture of system costs, revenue, and projected need.

What is the national deficit? ›

In February, the Congressional Budget Office released its annual Budget and Economic Outlook and projected that the nation will run a $1.6 trillion deficit in FY2024. The debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to increase from 99% in FY2024 to 116% in FY2035.

Which fiscal policy causes a deficit? ›

Expansionary fiscal policy causes the deficit to increase at all levels of income, so the deficit line shifts upward.

What are the two ways to reduce the national deficit and the national debt? ›

Governments often issue debt in the form of bonds to raise money. Spending cuts and tax hikes combined have helped lower the deficit. Bailouts and debt defaults have disadvantages but can help a government solve a debt problem.

How does fiscal policy affect national income? ›

Fiscal policy influences the economy through government spending and taxation, typically to promote strong and sustainable growth and reduce poverty.

What does fiscal policy determine? ›

Fiscal policy is the use of government spending and taxation to influence the economy. Governments typically use fiscal policy to promote strong and sustainable growth and reduce poverty.

What is fiscal year data? ›

A fiscal year is a 12-month period chosen by a company or government to coincide with planning, budgeting, or revenue cycles. Financial reports, external audits, and federal tax filings are based on a company's fiscal year. Fiscal years are important because they allow an entity to better prepare for its upcoming year.

What does fiscal policy monitor? ›

Fiscal policy is the means by which a government adjusts its spending levels and tax rates to monitor and influence a nation's economy. It is the sister strategy to monetary policy through which a central bank influences a nation's money supply.

How is national deficit calculated? ›

A deficit is simply the opposite of a surplus. To calculate a deficit, subtract total expenditures from total revenue, or total liabilities from total assets for a specific period of time. If expenditures (or liabilities) are greater than revenue (or assets), your result is a deficit.

Who owns the national deficit? ›

There are two kinds of national debt: intragovernmental and public. Intragovernmental is debt held by the Federal Reserve and Social Security and other government agencies. Public debt is held by the public: individual investors, institutions, foreign governments.

Why is national debt so high? ›

One of the main culprits is consistently overspending. When the federal government spends more than its budget, it creates a deficit. In the fiscal year of 2023, it spent about $381 billion more than it collected in revenues. To pay that deficit, the government borrows money.

Who does the US owe money to? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries.
Country/territoryUS foreign-owned debt (January 2023)
Japan$1,104,400,000,000
China$859,400,000,000
United Kingdom$668,300,000,000
Belgium$331,100,000,000
6 more rows

What does fiscal deficit always lead to? ›

Yes. If a fiscal deficit is financed by issuing new currency, it will increase inflation.

When was the last time the US had a balanced budget? ›

United States

The Colorado Taxpayer Bill of Rights (the TABOR amendment) also bans surpluses and requires the state to refund taxpayers in event of a budget surplus. The last time that the budget was balanced or had a surplus was the 2001 United States federal budget.

How does expansionary policy affect the national debt? ›

Expansionary fiscal policy increases the national deficit (and national debt) and causes crowding out. The demand for loanable funds increases (or the supply decreases), and interest rates increase. Contractionary fiscal policy decreases the national deficit.

How is the economy affected by national debt? ›

A nation saddled with debt will have less to invest in its own future. Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth.

How can government debt lead to a fiscal crisis? ›

As we have discussed elsewhere, government debt reduces economic activity by crowding out private capital formation and by requiring future tax increases or spending cuts to accommodate future interest payments.

What are some of the impacts of fiscal policy? ›

These include aggregate demand for goods and services, employment, inflation, and economic growth. During a recession, the government may lower tax rates or increase spending to encourage demand and spur economic activity. Conversely, to combat inflation, it may raise rates or cut spending to cool down the economy.

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