What is sovereign debt? (2024)

06/10/2022

Do countries usually borrow money when the taxes they collect aren’t enough to cover budgetary needs? We’ll explain when countries seek a loan, how they do it, and whom they borrow from.

Ever wonder where countries get the money they need to function? It may seem complicated; but actually, finance for both a country and a household is very similar. When our household income isn’t enough to buy something, hire a service or make some other kind of payment, we usually resort to taking out a credit facility, a loan, a mortgage and other types of financing.

With countries, the same thing happens when tax revenue (a country’s main source of income) falls short to cover government spending on public investment or welfare projects: they take out a loan. The money they borrow is called “sovereign (or government) debt”, and their negative financing balance is called “public deficit”.

How does sovereign debt work?

Who lends countries money and how does the loan work? To get funding, governments can issue debt securities. They are payment obligations to the investor who buys them, with terms and conditions for repayment. Securities can be issued at the local and national level and by public entities. People and private or public institutions in and outside the country can be an investor and buy them. These are the three main types of debt securities:

Treasury bills

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A treasury bill has the shortest term to maturity (3, 6, 12 and 18 months). In general, governments use it to get short-term financing at the lowest possible cost. It pays investors a fixed interest rate that is lower than other financing mechanisms. That's because its market price remains stable over such a short repayment period. A treasury bill is considered a low-risk investment.

Treasury notes

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A treasury note has a term to maturity of between two and five years. It requires its issuing government to return the investor’s money by its maturity date and give a set interest or coupon payment every year.

Treasury bonds

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Treasury bonds are similar to treasury notes. Both give the investor an annual interest or coupon payment. But a bond’s term to maturity is different: usually between 10 and 30 years. Bonds can usually indicate markets’ confidence in a country’s economy based on its ability to pay in the future.

The kind of debt security a government issues will depend on its financing needs. If a country doesn't have the funds it needs to build a system of motorways, it can issue 2-to-5-year treasury notes and promise to make interest or coupon payments until the note reaches maturity (the time by which the country expects it will have the amount it needs to pay back its debt).

How much sovereign debt is too much?

To understand how indebted a country is, we can compare its sovereign debt to its gross domestic product (GDP). If a country owes €70 million and its GDP equals €100 million, 70% of everything made from producing and selling goods and services can go towards paying down its debt. In theory, the smaller that percentage is, the greater its ability to pay will be. But if the ratio of debt to GDP is high, the country's risk of default will grow.

In each country, the economy and spending needs are different. So it’s impossible to set a good or bad level of debt. Large economies, like Japan (whose debt is 250% of GDP), can cope with high debt levels because financial markets have confidence in their ability to pay.

What is sovereign debt? (2024)

FAQs

What is sovereign debt in simple terms? ›

Key Takeaways

Sovereign debt is debt issued by the government of an independent political entity, usually in the form of securities. Several private agencies often rate the creditworthiness of sovereign borrowers and the securities they issue.

Who owns US sovereign debt? ›

There are two kinds of national debt: intragovernmental and public. Intragovernmental is debt held by the Federal Reserve and Social Security and other government agencies. Public debt is held by the public: individual investors, institutions, foreign governments.

What is the sovereign debt of USA? ›

What is the national debt? The national debt ($34.61 T) is the total amount of outstanding borrowing by the U.S. Federal Government accumulated over the nation's history. Updated daily from the Debt to the Penny dataset.

Who are the holders of US sovereign debt? ›

As of January 2023, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($859 billion), the United Kingdom ($668 billion), Belgium ($331 billion), and Luxembourg ($318 billion).

Why is sovereign debt bad? ›

High sovereign debt levels are associated with slower economic growth and rising default risk. Government borrowers able to issue bonds in their own country's currency are less likely to default.

Is sovereign debt risky? ›

A sovereign bond is a debt security issued by a national government to raise money. It can be a safe investment or a risky one depending on the financial health of the issuer.

Who owes the US the most money? ›

Among other countries, Japan and China have continued to be the top owners of US debt during the last two decades. Since the dollar is a strong currency that is accepted globally, holding a substantial amount of US debt can be beneficial.

Who owns over 70% of the US debt? ›

Of the $33T of debt, roughly 78% is owned by the public (70% US vs 30% International). The major US public owners include the FED ($6T, but they are no longer buyers), mutual funds, banks, states, pension funds and insurance companies.

Will the US ever pay off its debt? ›

Eliminating the U.S. government's debt is a Herculean task that could take decades. In addition to obvious steps, such as hiking taxes and slashing spending, the government could take a number of other approaches, some of them unorthodox and even controversial.

What happens if China dumps US bonds? ›

If China (or any other nation that has a trade surplus with the U.S.) stops buying U.S. Treasuries or even starts dumping its U.S. forex reserves, its trade surplus would become a trade deficit—something which no export-oriented economy would want, as they would be worse off as a result.

Why does the US have so much debt? ›

One of the main culprits is consistently overspending. When the federal government spends more than its budget, it creates a deficit. In the fiscal year of 2023, it spent about $381 billion more than it collected in revenues. To pay that deficit, the government borrows money.

Who are the top 4 owners of U.S. debt? ›

  1. Japan. Japan held $1.15 trillion in Treasury securities as of January 2024, beating out China as the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt. ...
  2. China. China gets a lot of attention for holding a big chunk of the U.S. government's debt. ...
  3. The United Kingdom. ...
  4. Luxembourg. ...
  5. Canada.

How can the US get out of debt? ›

Tax hikes alone are rarely enough to stimulate the economy and pay down debt. Governments often issue debt in the form of bonds to raise money. Spending cuts and tax hikes combined have helped lower the deficit. Bailouts and debt defaults have disadvantages but can help a government solve a debt problem.

How much does China owe the United States? ›

The United States pays interest on approximately $850 billion in debt held by the People's Republic of China. China, however, is currently in default on its sovereign debt held by American bondholders.

What is another name for sovereign debt? ›

National debt, also known as sovereign debt, refers to money owed by a national government rather than by a local or state government.

Who holds sovereign debt? ›

Asset managers, such as pension funds, typically hold a large amount of government debt. They need relatively safe long-term assets to match their long-term liabilities. Banks also hold large amounts of sovereign debt, especially of governments in the countries where they are based.

What happens when sovereign debt defaults? ›

Sovereign default is the failure by a country's government to pay its debt. Sovereign default inevitably slows the nation's economic growth and hampers investment from overseas. Overwhelming debt is the main cause of sovereign default.

What is an example of a sovereign debt crisis? ›

Many countries have experienced debt crises. Examples include the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s, which resulted in a “lost decade” for the region, and the European sovereign debt crisis beginning in 2009.

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